2 10, 2020

EU-UK talks look like “tunnelling” toward a fudged deal

By |2020-10-09T11:46:02+00:00October 2nd, 2020|Categories: Brexit, Europe, Trade, Trade & Financial services|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

Will there be a No Deal Brexit or a Free Trade Agreement, of some kind, by 15th October 2020?  This was the date by which UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson insisted an accord should be reached or, as he put it, Britain would simply walk away. Regaining British sovereignty? Given [...]

29 09, 2020

In search of equivalence – why “no-deal” would be bad for the financial sector, on both sides of the channel

By |2020-10-09T10:52:12+00:00September 29th, 2020|Categories: Brexit, Europe, Trade & Financial services|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

With the deadline for a deal being reached now centring around the 15th October European Council meeting, there are some signs of greater willingness to compromise on the two major issues of fishing rights and state aid.  If that is so it may also pave the way to making progress [...]

2 09, 2020

Level Playing Field, Lopsided Logic?

By |2020-09-02T12:35:02+00:00September 2nd, 2020|Categories: Brexit, Europe, Trade, Trade & Financial services|Tags: , , , , |

When the United Kingdom (UK) finally left the European Union (EU) earlier this year, it did so on the basis of a Withdrawal Agreement, attached to which was a Political Declaration. This latter text included within it a shared goal of establishing a Free Trade Agreement (FTA). The two parties [...]

22 07, 2020

How far can the Northern Ireland Protocol limit Brexit’s economic damage?

By |2020-07-22T09:45:01+00:00July 22nd, 2020|Categories: Brexit, Devolution, Europe, Trade, Trade & Financial services, UK Devolution|Tags: , , |

Photo credit: Albert Bridge (Wikimedia Commons/ CC BY-SA 2.0)   The Brexit project entails much collateral damage. The most prominent potential victim of UK departure from the EU to date – though others will no doubt become increasingly difficult to ignore – has been the island of Ireland. [...]

8 07, 2020

The financial sector after the transition period – will it get a meaningful equivalence?

By |2020-07-08T11:22:12+00:00July 8th, 2020|Categories: Brexit, Europe, Trade & Financial services|Tags: , , |

The first of the newly scheduled  weekly talks between the UK and EU teams on a trade deal by the end of the transition period  (31st December 2020) finished early last week, sending warning signals to those hoping for some breakthrough.  Time is running out. Prime Minister Johnson has rejected [...]

14 02, 2020

Negotiating with a bloc seven times your size: Clash no 1 – Financial Services

By |2020-06-23T15:53:46+00:00February 14th, 2020|Categories: Europe, Trade, Trade & Financial services|Tags: , , |

The UK has the same rules as the EU at this instant – but EU rules are evolving continuously under the pressure of technological change. The main Directive about trading securities is about to be examined later this year – as part of the normal review cycle. The UK will [...]

25 10, 2018

Hard Brexit: Passport to Nowhere for British Services

By |2020-07-02T08:40:21+00:00October 25th, 2018|Categories: Brexit, Reports & Policy Briefs, Trade & Financial services|Tags: , , |

Hard Brexit: Passport to Nowhere for British Services With grateful thanks for assistance from E.Piciocchi, J.Kuozas & E.Manias.   October 2018 “We're on a road to nowhere Come on inside Taking that ride to nowhere We'll take that ride... ....They can tell you what to do But they'll make a [...]

29 11, 2017

Hard Brexit and the regions

By |2020-07-02T08:48:41+00:00November 29th, 2017|Categories: Brexit, Reports & Policy Briefs, Trade & Financial services|Tags: , , |

  December 2017 “It will take all the “stiff upper lip” symbolized by Queen Victoria to overcome the economic storm unleashed from the British leaving the European Union” La Stampa, Italian newspaper. “You can check-out any time you like, But you can never leave!” Hotel California by the Eagles   [...]

23 05, 2017

Consequences of a hard Brexit

By |2020-07-02T06:50:44+00:00May 23rd, 2017|Categories: 2017, Brexit, Reports & Policy Briefs, Trade & Financial services|Tags: , , |

Consequences of a hard Brexit   Joint event with Industry Forum   Monday, 5th June 2017 LAUNCH OF A NEW STUDY: "Hard Brexit", International Trade and the WTO Scenario by Dr Andrew Black Speakers: Dr Andrew Black, Digit Ltd, Senior Research Fellow, Global Policy Institute; Visiting Senior Research Fellow at [...]

23 05, 2017

“Hard Brexit”, International Trade and the WTO Scenario

By |2020-07-02T09:01:01+00:00May 23rd, 2017|Categories: Brexit, Reports & Policy Briefs, Trade & Financial services|Tags: , , |

“Hard Brexit”, International Trade and the WTO Scenario   May 2017   With the assistance of Etienne Piciocchi and Michael Spracklin   Click here to download the paper in pdf format. Executive Summary This report looks at the possible consequences of a hard Brexit, following an unsuccessful conclusion of Article [...]